So as expected Delta (Thanjavur, Tiruvarar and Nagai), Sivaganga, Pudukottai and Ramanthapuram districts in the morning. Today is last day of widespread rains, before we head for short break in rains.
Today – Kerala and South TN to bubble up
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South TN day again.South TN areas like Kanyakumari, Nellai, Thenkasi, Tuti, Theni, Madurai, Virudhunagar district all has chance to get rains
KTC
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KTC misses last 2 days rains. Yesterday clouds went via vellore and today the convergence which was expected to happen over Chennai coast has perfectly happened over delta coast. So all is not bad for Chennai. May looks good for TN and there is chance for us too, if the UAC bounds to TN in weakened state.
Meanwhile Models Update on upcoming future systeem – Total Chaos and delay. Dont be surprised with UAC coming to TN too lets keep that option open too.
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Strong Burma bound
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1. United States GFS – 976 mb cyclone to Burma on May 7
2. Australia BOM – 980 mb Cyclone to Burma on May 7
3. United States Energy EIA NEMS – Cyclone to Burma on May 7
Weak Burma bound
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4. German ICON – 1000 mb weakened one to Burma on May 7
5. Japan JMA – UAC to Burma on May 6
6. United States GFDL – weak system to Burma on May 6
Open Seas / North Andaman / North Central Bay
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7. India IMD – 1002 mb in North Andaman moving up on May 10
8. Europe ECMWF – 1004 mb in Central Bay moving west on May 10
9. France ARPEGE – 1004 mb in North Andaman moving up on May 4
10. United States NASA GMAO – 1008 mb in North Andaman moving up on May 4
TN bound / Off TN coast
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11. Canada CMA – 1005 mb LPA to TN on May 10
12. India NCMWRF – UAC near TN on May 7
13. United Kingdom – UKMET – TN bound UAC on May 6
Andhra/Odisha bound
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14. United States Army Navygem – 978 mb cyclone to NAP on May 7
15. United States Seasonal CFS – 995 mb cyclone to NAP on May 11
Rainfall in Tamil Nadu on 30.04.2020
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in mm (min 10 mm)
Krishnagiri
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Rayakottah – 65
Hosur – 60
Denkanikottai – 42
Thally – 30
Shoolagiri – 14
Dharmapuri
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Pennagaram – 59
Palacode – 39
Hogenkkal – 22
Marandhalli – 14
Nilgiris
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Lower Glenmorgan – 38
Kodanadu – 26
Emerald – 15
Glenmorgan – 14
Upper Bhavani – 10
Avalanche – 10
Ariyalur
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Jayankondam – 35
Sendurai – 12
Virudhungar
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Virudhunagar – 26
Sivakasi – 20
Tirunelveli
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Nanguneri – 20
Tirunelveli – 10
Kalakadu Agro – 10
Perambalur
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Agaram Seegoor – 20
Puthu Vettakudi – 10
Kanyakumari
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Pechiparai – 10
Kannimar – 10
Tirupathisaram – 10
Others
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Mettur Dam, Salem – 46
Kadambur, Thoothukudi – 41
Lower Anaicut, Thanjavur – 27
Kamudhi, Ramanthapuram – 20
Pudukottai, Pudukottai – 18
Kodumudi, Erode – 16
Not only landfall, the cities where cyclone passes as cyclone at night is put below. So people has to stay indoors in these places at night in West Bengal.
5. Storm Surge – 5 mts
